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Behaviour Change

Climate action dashboard: Trends in public opinion 2020-2023

14 March 2024

The centre for Climate Change & Social Transformations (CAST) has published a revamped version of its data portal, giving quick access to international surveys of public opinion on a wide range of climate issues from 2020-2023.

The Climate Action dashboard displays trends in people’s intentions to make different lifestyle changes in the UK (alongside international data).

Although there’s wide variation across different behaviours in terms of people’s overall willingness to engage in them (from the 80% of people who try to avoid food waste, to the 11% who say they would follow a vegan diet), one overall trend is clear: there’s no meaningful drop-off between 2020 and 2023 in any of the behaviours.

Some show a spike in 2021, likely linked to the Covid 19 pandemic (e.g. avoiding flying) or the surge in global climate activism that preceded it. But none are lower than the 2020 baseline.

That’s important to bear in mind when there’s discussion of public support for climate action weakening. Data like this show clearly that it isn’t, even if some of the more impactful lifestyle changes people could make (like following a vegan or vegetarian diet) don’t yet have majority support.

Reference article:

The latest from the Behaviour Change timeline:

From the Climate Community 2nd July 2024

Research paper: Low carbon lifestyles are supported, but are impacted by ‘narratives of delay’

Researchers at the centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (CAST) have found widespread public support for low-carbon lifestyles. In workshops, people explored visions of an ideal 1.5°C future:

  • Food norms are seen to be shifting. While vegan diets are still seen as too restrictive, there is strong support for reducing food waste, and support for the adoption of balanced diets that reduce meat consumption, deliver health co-benefits, and local benefits to farmers.
  • The future of shopping and consumption was seen as going ‘full circle back to the 50s’, with less packaging, long-lasting and affordable, with emissions labelling, and a rise in ‘swapping shops’ and the second-hand market.
  • There is a strong desire for fewer cars on the road, infrastructure to support active travel, and electrification of transport. Frequent flyer taxes are seen acceptable in the short term, but people hoped for more efficient air travel in future.
  • Home refurbishment and better housing standards were almost universally positively received – with government support seen as non-negotiable.

However, common ‘narratives of delay’ also punctuated these positive visions, stemming from what the authors identified as three emotional defense mechanisms:

1) Overconfidence in current actions (thinking that small changes have more impact than they actually do)

2) Defensiveness over radical change (despite many lifestyle changes requiring only moderate adjustments for many)

3) Dejection at the scale of the challenge (with fatalism acting as a demotivator for making lifestyle changes)

The paper concludes that:

“Rethinking strategies for public engagement with climate action will be an essential step towards creating a positive, ambitious, fair, sustainable vision of the future that is desperately needed as part of a people-centred approach to tackling climate change”

  • Source: Global Environmental Change
  • Authors: Catherine Cherry, Caroline Verfuerth, Christina Demski
  • Date: 17th June 2024
Opinion Insight 1st July 2024

Ipsos: Most net zero policies have more support than opposition (but support for some has fallen)

Surveys are clear that the British public supports the country’s net zero targets.

When surveys focus on specific policies (like low traffic neighbourhoods, for example), then a range of wider considerations come into play, and unsurprisingly, support for individual policies like this tends to be lower than support for net zero overall. Although, as Climate Barometer tracker data underscores, even this policy (presented as divisive in media commentary) has more support than opposition.

And this trend – of most net zero policies having greater support than opposition –  is reflected in a new Ipsos survey.

In nationally representative polling from April 2024, just before the General Election was called, Ipsos reported that:

Support is highest for giving people more assistance to increase the energy efficiency of their homes (76%); frequent flyer levies (62%); and changing product pricing to reflect how environmentally friendly products are (56%).

The least popular policy tested (an exception to the rule of support outweighing opposition) was electric vehicle subsidies (39% support, 41% oppose).

However, while most net zero policies continue to enjoy majority support among Britons, Ipsos report that this support has fallen over the past two years:

Support for ensuring access to sustainable pension funds and increasing vegetarian/vegan options in food provisioning have both fallen by 8 points since 2022, support for creating low traffic neighbourhoods is down 7 points, and support for higher taxes on red meat and dairy products and electric vehicle subsidies are both down 6 ppts.

Labour and Lib Dem 2019 voters support all policies, while past Conservative voters only support a few: frequent flyer levies, changing product pricing, ensuring access to sustainable pensions, and enabling people to make energy efficiency improvements to their home.

The polling also suggested a softening of the intensity with which people report feeling worried about climate change (likely a reflection of the difficulty of maintaining a strong sense of worry about an issue that can’t be resolved in the short term), although Ipsos reported that overall levels of concern remained very high,

Opinion Insight 17th April 2024

Research paper: Engaging concerned but distrustful audiences on reducing meat & dairy

Climate Outreach worked with researchers from the Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations (CAST) and the environmental charity Hubbub to test food and diet-related messages, with residents in Manchester who were ‘climate concerned’ but are not typically involved or represented in climate conversations (broadly representative of ‘Loyal Nationals’), testing ideas and messages about reducing meat and dairy over a 6 month period.

In surveys, only 27% of people say they have no plans to/don’t want to reduce the amount of meat they eat. But while there is potential to reduce the amount of meat and dairy in people’s diets, the research found that:

  • When people talked about food, they often did so with reference to their own family traditions. The notion of food as a means of bringing people together was common across the various cultures represented in the group.
  • Terms such as ‘plant-based alternatives’ or ‘sustainable diets’ did not widely resonate. These were referred to as ‘middle class’, and participants felt like these terms do not acknowledge food cultures that already rely on vegetables. Using more straightforward language (e.g., ‘eat more vegetables’) was more acceptable.
  • People were worried about climate change and the environmental changes they were seeing.  But when members were asked to post recipes of vegetarian or vegan dishes, they talked mainly about the ease of preparation and taste; impact on climate or sustainability was not discussed.
  • Using climate change as the main message to encourage dietary changes may not be effective. People related more to messages around reducing food waste, community food growing, and improving health and wellbeing.
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