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Political Leadership

Tony Blair Institute survey on perceptions of net zero

31 May 2024

The Tony Blair Institute for Global Change (TBI) commissioned survey data in support of a linked call for the UK to ‘reimagine’ its net zero targets. The survey (of 15,000 people) was conducted across seven European member states, as well as the UK.

Many of the findings support well-established patterns of climate change/net zero perceptions among the UK public, including:

  • Climate change as a ‘top five’ issue
  • Firm support for the goal of achieving net zero by 2050
  • Limited faith in the ability of (current) elected politicians to achieve this
  • A majority agreeing that the UK should lead on climate change even if China isn’t seen to be taking proportionate action (although with this support concentrated among those who ‘prioritise climate change’)
  • The importance of visible leadership and fairness/affordability for consumer-facing climate policies

Focusing on the lack of belief in the feasibility of net zero goals based on current government programmes (what they call the ‘delivery deficit’), the TBI argues that the UK’s net zero targets should be relaxed, on the grounds that they are out of step with public opinion, and have been made without paying sufficient attention to public concerns on cost and affordability.

The latter point is important: net zero policies will indeed be difficult to achieve without broad based public support.

But wider research is clear that across the political spectrum, people want to see more leadership on climate, not less. The ‘delivery deficit’ that the TBI identifies could just as easily be used as an argument to bring the public in, and go faster on net zero.

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The latest from the Political Leadership timeline:

Climate Barometer Tracker 1st October 2026

Tracker data: Mandate for more government action on climate stays strong

Data from the latest wave of the Climate Barometer tracker shows that most of the public and MPs think the government should ‘do more’ or ‘is doing the right amount’ on climate. Only 17% among the public and 15% of MPs say that the government is ‘doing too much’ to address the issue.

This holds true across most public voter groups: supporters of all parties except Reform are most likely to say the government should be ‘doing more’ on climate, with 45% of Labour, 35% of Conservative, 61% of Lib Dem and 75% of Green supporters selecting this option. Whilst more than 1 in 3 (37%) Reform backers think the government is ‘doing too much’ to address climate change, even among this group, 28% still want the government to ‘do more’. 

Among MPs, the picture is shows a much clearer split along partisan lines: Labour members are unsurprisingly most likely to say that the government is doing ‘the right amount’ (58%), whereas 7 in 10 Conservatives (70%) say that the government is doing ‘too much’ to address climate change, reflecting Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch’s self-declared “net zero sceptic” stance.

Opinion Insight 30th September 2026

Net zero support remains steady for both MPs and the public

‘Net zero’ has made national headlines in September, with an Energy Security and Net Zero committee report recommending that the government stop talking about net zero, to Prime Minister Andy Burnham reaffirming the policy, a few hours later, explicitly stating the need for the UK to reach net zero by 2050.

Our latest data shows that holding steady is the right move, with net zero still receiving majority support among the public and MPs, and even trending upward slightly.

While it is clear that ‘net zero’ is not the most compelling communications phrase, it is also apparent that the public understand and are willing to support it, especially when linked back to  its purpose, to address climate change. Rather than ditching the term, our work suggests that talking about the government’s net zero target is best done when connected to compelling reasons ‘why’, and clear explanations for ‘how’ it can be achieved.

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