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Perception Gaps & Polarisation

Tracker data: The public and MPs underestimate support for net zero

05 November 2024

Climate Barometer tracker data shows that net zero support is underestimated by, within and between the public and MPs. 

The actual level of net zero support amongst the public was 65% from our polling in October 2024. But when we asked people to estimate this, most members of the public (70%) and half of MPs (49%) underestimated the levels of support for net zero amongst the public. 

When it comes to opinion in parliament – actual support for net zero by 2050 was 90% amongst the MPs we polled in October. But this support was underestimated by 93% of the public, as well as by three-quarters of MPs themselves (75%).

Simply put, the 2050 net zero target is much more popular amongst the public and MPs than people think.

This follows previous tracker data showing evidence of underestimated support for net zero.

The latest from the Perception Gaps & Polarisation timeline:

Opinion Insight 20th September 2026

Tracker data: Support for local renewables still higher than we think it is

The Climate Barometer Tracker has followed public and MP support for local renewable infrastructure in their area since 2022. Since the beginning, we have pointed to a perception gap between the (high) public support for local renewables projects such as new solar parks and wind farms, and what the public and MPs think support and opposition looks like.

The latest wave of the tracker shows that this gap remains: public support for new local renewable projects remains high. People, and their representatives continue to underestimate this support, and overestimate opposition.

In this wave, we also asked those who have personal experience with local infrastructure projects, how they felt about them. Overall, those who have a newly proposed project in their area, and those who have a fully or partially built one, feel accepting, proud, and relieved. A minority report feeling worry, anger, and upsetness, but for the most part, emotional responses are positive.

Those experiencing the most negative emotions were people living in areas where a renewable energy project had been rejected.

Opinion Insight 13th November 2025

Division is growing – which makes communication on climate change more difficult

Climate change didn’t cause the culture wars, but culture wars are making climate change harder to solve.

In new research from Kings College London (KCL), divisions over climate change are seen as worse than divisions over Brexit, with the public more likely to say there is tension between climate change sceptics and believers (64%) than between Leavers and Remainers (52%), or between younger and older generations (45%).

This is despite the broad-based consensus on the importance of the issue that Climate Barometer data evidences, and which is seen consistently in wider research (e.g. the recent Britain Talks Climate & Nature report, which highlights widespread care for nature, wildlife and the benefits that the transition to clean, renewable energy can bring).

More new research (from Hope Not Hate) diving into the differences between people who intend to vote Reform highlights climate change as one of the dividing lines among a disjointed coalition of factions. ‘Squeezed Stewards’ (in an echo of More in Common’s ‘Rooted Patriots’ segment, who have high levels of threat perception around environmental risks) care about nature and acknowledge the climate crisis. But the ‘Hardline Conservatives’ subgroup of Reform backers are much more likely to be in the minority of people who reject action on climate change entirely.

View Perception Gaps & Polarisation timeline now

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