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  • Overview
  • May '26
    The public want urgent action on floods, heat, and droughts
  • Reform voters: getting the climate story right
  • Apr '26
    What does climate ‘salience’ mean in 2026?
  • Mar '26
    Energy security: opinion insights and message testing
  • Has the Green Party really stopped talking about the environment?
  • Feb '26
    What locals want
  • What drives support for local energy infrastructure?
  • Clean energy is a winner across the political spectrum – but support for fossil fuels is slowly creeping upwards again
  • Varied levels of support for individual net zero policies
  • Jan '26
    Signal in the Noise: Climate opinion trends for 2025/26
  • Dec '25
    Our latest public & MP opinion data
  • Support for net zero is plateauing, not plummeting
  • Public think polluting business and industry should pay for net zero
  • Nov '25
    The Autumn Budget and public opinion – bills, taxes, and more
  • High public support for home insulation
  • MPs and the public see climate as shared global responsibility
  • Division is growing – which makes communication on climate change more difficult
  • The government released its latest public opinion tracker figures
  • How to (not) reduce energy bills
  • What about China?
  • The 30th climate change ‘Conference of Parties’
  • Oct '25
    Tracker data: MPs continue to underestimate public support for NZ target
  • Missing Links: Connecting the ‘how’ and the ‘why’ in net zero engagement
  • Sep '25
    UK’s hottest summer on record
  • Reform urge investors to put breaks on offshore wind
  • Tories pledge to get all oil and gas out of North Sea
  • Zack Polanski elected leader of greens
  • Jul '25
    Unions demand green jobs
  • Linking impacts to net zero
  • Miliband on climate impacts
  • Barriers to heat pump adoption
  • A climate of silence in the UK?
  • Tracker data: MPs and the public continue to underestimate local backing for wind, solar and pylons
  • Climate opinion in ‘Shattered Britain’
  • May '25
    New public polling: Behind the noise on net zero
  • Mar '25
    What’s the public appetite for climate-friendly food choices?
  • Feb '25
    Diets shifts in the years ahead: What level of change will be needed and accepted?
  • Is the Tory leadership out of touch with Conservative voters on climate?
  • How households can make meaningful shifts towards sustainable diets and lower food waste
  • Jan '25
    Majority think UK is not prepared for climate impacts
  • Dec '24
    Signal in the Noise: Trends in the UK climate discourse in 2023/24
  • Nov '24
    Report: How politicians can change food policy in Britain
  • UK “biggest climber” on climate action as COP29 heads to a close
  • Closing gap between Labour and Conservative voters on LTNs
  • If Labour wants to move fast and build things, it’s time to stop the name calling
  • National dietary survey shows UK meat consumption is falling
  • Britons want the UK to stay committed to climate despite Trump
  • Tracker data: The public and MPs underestimate support for net zero
  • Tracker data: Huge perception gap on support for onshore wind
  • Oct '24
    Growing calls for a ‘climate resilient net zero’
  • New study addresses impact of climate protest images on audiences
  • New study addresses global awareness of climate justice
  • Cumbria coal mine cancelled
  • MP polling: Is this the greenest parliament ever?
  • New study: Political leaders’ actions can inspire behavioural change
  • Sep '24
    Polling: Building familiarity with EVs necessary to overcome misconceptions
  • Almost half of Britons have personally experienced heat waves
  • Has support for net zero risen or fallen since the election?
  • Aug '24
    Labour’s energy policies are popular, but concerns around energy costs are growing again
  • Is ‘climate crisis’ a more effective term than ‘climate change’?
  • Jul '24
    Labour’s plans for Great British Energy brought to parliament
  • Tracker data: Renewables better for energy security than fossil fuels
  • The public feel ‘worried’, ‘sad’, and ‘no emotions’ about climate change
  • Post-election polling shows ‘backtracking’ on net zero targets cost the Conservatives votes
  • New Labour government announces planning reforms to increase onshore wind development
  • What do MPs need to know about voters’ views on climate?
  • New Labour government elected
  • Majority of public feel accepting of local pylons
  • Tracker data: Narratives that cut through
  • Research paper: Low carbon lifestyles are supported, but are impacted by ‘narratives of delay’
  • MPs and the public underestimate public support for pylons
  • Ipsos: Most net zero policies have more support than opposition (but support for some has fallen)
  • Why better insights on ethnicity are important for climate communication
  • Jun '24
    Major global study: Four out of five want governments to strengthen climate action
  • General Election 2024: Scottish views on the North Sea transition
  • Conservative Environment Network: Polling shows climate change is not salient for Reform voters
  • Carbon Brief: General Election 2024 energy & climate manifesto tracker
  • Trust & influence: Beyond ‘trusted messengers’
  • May '24
    General Election 2024: Will culture wars win votes?
  • Tony Blair Institute survey on perceptions of net zero
  • Tracker data: How is support for phasing out petrol and diesel vehicles changing?
  • Tracker data: The public blames government and the energy system (not green initiatives) for high bills
  • Tracker data: Public dissatisfaction with politicians’ handling of climate
  • Tracker data: Majority of public think climate inaction will cost too much
  • Ipsos poll: Support for meat and dairy tax increases when positive impacts are highlighted
  • Ipsos global data shows elevated climate ‘apathy’ among younger men
  • Apr '24
    Scotland drops 2030 emissions target but retains 2045 net zero ambition
  • Tracker data: the public is split on whether climate campaigners are ‘out of touch’
  • Tracker data: What climate impacts are the public concerned about?
  • Comment: Reform voters and net zero
  • Reform voters and net zero
  • Research paper: Engaging concerned but distrustful audiences on reducing meat & dairy
  • Europe Talks Flying: Navigating public opinion on aviation and climate
  • Green Alliance policy tracker: March 2024 update
  • Research paper: Climate concern increases following major protests/civil disobedience
  • Mar '24
    What the public misunderstands about heat pumps
  • Grantham Institute survey: What benefits do people think climate policies will bring?
  • What are perception gaps and why do they matter?
  • Climate action dashboard: Trends in public opinion 2020-2023
  • Spring Budget 2024: A small number of ‘green-tinged’ measures
  • Research: Health benefits can motivate eating less meat and dairy
  • Feb '24
    Video: People want climate action so why don’t politicians get it?
  • Survey: Three quarters of the public are worried about the impact of climate change on their bills
  • Redfield & Wilton polling: Labour & Conservative voters think climate change not being taken seriously enough
  • ECIU polling: more voters had heard about Labour’s green investment ‘U-turn’ than the policy itself
  • Voters want political leadership on climate change
  • Global study shows climate perception gaps are prevalent around the world
  • YouGov polling: Labour voters see government U-turns as a bad sign
  • Jan '24
    Tracker data: The youngest and the poorest are most worried about climate and wellbeing
  • Comment: Why should we care about climate emotions?
  • Survey: Knowing someone with a heat pump increases support
  • Differences in support for oil and gas track political divides
  • Report finds a rise in ‘new denial’ narratives on Youtube and a third of UK teenagers agreeing that climate change is exaggerated
  • Carbon Brief analysis shows record opposition to climate action by right-leaning UK newspapers in 2023
  • Research paper: Reducing inequality makes behaviour change for net zero more achievable
  • Are there gender differences in low carbon diets in the UK?
  • Dec '23
    Legal challenge launched against Rosebank North Sea oil field
  • COP28 calls for “transition away from fossil fuels”. Does the UK public agree?
  • CAAD report: A rise in violent language used online to describe protesters in 2023
  • Nov '23
    Tracker data: Nearly half of British public support climate compensation
  • Tracker data: Public oppose fracking, but it continues to polarise MPs
  • Comment: Is ‘behaviour change’ a contentious topic or an essential part of net zero?
  • Tracker data: What actions are the public and MPs taking to address climate change?
  • Tracker data: MP and public views on energy sources
  • Tracker data: Low levels of trust in political parties to speak about climate change
  • Tracker data: Who is trusted to speak honestly about climate change?
  • Making sense of public opinion on climate impacts
  • National Trust report: A Resilience Bill could put adaptation on the same footing as mitigation
  • Understanding perceptions of political leadership on climate change
  • Desmog publishes analysis of ‘anti-green’ Telegraph commentary on net zero
  • Comment: Are international climate negotiations on the public’s radar?
  • Carbon Brief analysis of the language used in the autumn statement shows change climate given a low priority
  • Tracker data: MPs and the public support high ambition on climate
  • Tracker data: MPs and public support climate finance to vulnerable countries
  • Making sense of public and MP opinion on renewables
  • Autumn Statement: Discounts on energy bills to be provided to households living near new electricity transmission infrastructure
  • Tracker data: Favourability towards wind and solar among MPs and the public
  • Making sense of public opinion on oil and gas
  • Tracker data: The public and MPs overestimate opposition to local solar
  • Carbon Brief resource: Who wants what at the COP28 climate change summit?
  • Making sense of public opinion on clean air zones
  • Tracker data: Public and MPs believe in the effectiveness of working together to tackle climate crisis
  • Tracker data: Public support for low traffic neighbourhoods is higher than MPs’
  • Reuters Institute report: UK audiences prefer climate coverage focused on ‘solutions’
  • Ipsos MORI polling ahead of COP28 shows limited public confidence that conference commitments will lead to climate action
  • Polling: Effectiveness of reducing meat consumption underestimated by UK public
  • Polling: British public are willing to change their eating habits to tackle climate change
  • Comment: Climate vs the cost of living?
  • Polling: Carbon food labelling receives clear support
  • Comment: Bumps on the road to net zero in 2023
  • ACT Climate Labs: How to talk to ‘Persuadables’ about transport
  • Tracker data: No signs of polarisation around the 2050 net zero target
  • Tracker data: Who is to blame for the high cost of energy bills?
  • Tracker data: Public and MPs underestimate net zero support
  • Conservative Environment Network polling: Widespread support for local green energy development
  • Tracker data: Public support for new local pylons
  • Comment: How does the public perceive climate protesters?
  • Oct '23
    More in Common: Labour can increase support among key Red Wall ‘Loyal Nationals’ by focusing on green investment
  • Public First polling: Delays to net zero make a party less electable
  • Tracker data: Majority of the public support a tax on frequent flyers
  • Tracker data: Do MPs see Net Zero as a vote winner or loser in Red and Blue Wall seats?
  • Making sense of differences between the public and MP opinions on oil and gas
  • UK meat consumption at lowest level since records began
  • What explains the drop in Welsh support for 20mph speed limits, shortly after their introduction?
  • MPs continue to underestimate importance of the environment for voters
  • Climate Citizens report: MPs underestimate the importance of the environment for voters
  • Conservatives urged to reconsider anti net zero strategy after Tamworth & Mid Bedfordshire by-elections
  • Comment: Net Zero in My Back Yard
  • Making sense of UK polarisation on climate change
  • Comment: What do the Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire by-elections tell us about support for climate policies?
  • Communities near wind farms will receive £300 incentive
  • Tracker data: Public and MPs see climate action as best route to energy independence
  • Tracker data: Most believe they can make a difference on climate, but over a third don’t
  • Tracker data: MP and public opinion on government climate action
  • National Infrastructure Commission recommends low income households should be given free heat pumps
  • Map of ‘action based’ stories aims to offer hope through seeing others acting
  • Scrapping, banning or delaying? Why question wording matters for understanding opinion on net zero
  • Climate Change Committee: Net zero targets are harder to achieve after changes to policies
  • Climate change in TV and Film
  • Climate Change Committee: How behaviour change can become part of UK climate policies
  • Polling during Labour Party conference: There is support for removing fossil fuels from electricity generation by 2030
  • New research: What personal climate actions are British people of colour undertaking?
  • Report: How people of colour experience climate change in Britain
  • Public First: UK public backs a move towards energy independence.
  • Tracker data: Gap in perceived support for local wind and solar
  • Tracker: Buying local and reducing meat much more common than meat-free diets
  • Sep '23
    Tracker data: Most people agree it will cost too much ‘not to tackle’ climate change
  • Friends of the Earth release a map of fossil fuel extraction sites around the country
  • Onward league table shows which net zero policies are popular among voters
  • Onward polling: Voters rank green policies as the least likely reason for cost of living crisis
  • Onward research: How to build support for net zero policies among Conservative voters
  • Labour Party confirms plans for GB Energy ahead of 2023 conference
  • Rosebank oil field given go-ahead by regulators
  • YouGov: There is a generational divide in support for more oil and gas extraction
  • Greenpeace polling: Climate will influence the next election in Blue Wall constituencies
  • Public First: Sunak’s Net Zero speech may scarcely cut through to voters
  • Ipsos polling: Renewable energy infrastructure is a priority for Britons
  • Anger Monitor research: ‘constructive’ anger can motivate climate action
  • Greenpeace polling: Blue Wall constituents want subsidies for net zero policies (and will vote on climate)
  • More in Common: Most voters think the government is doing too little on climate
  • ECIU poll: net zero policy rollback viewed as ‘untrustworthy’ by most; ‘sensible’ by some
  • Support for a loophole-free windfall tax on the profits of oil and gas companies sits at nearly 90%
  • More in Common polling: Few Britons want the government to do less to reach net zero
  • Rishi Sunak announces delays to near-term net zero targets
  • Social Change Lab: Does radical action shift the perception of more moderate activists?
  • More in Common: Oil & gas are no longer seen as reliable energy sources
  • Sizewell C campaigners hail appeal court victory
  • Comment: Polling makes misleading claims about support for clean air zones and net zero
  • Is there a split between ‘motorists’ and ‘non motorists’ on transport policies?
  • Climate Change Committee: How to help the UK public prepare for climate impacts
  • Report: How behavioural science can help encourage sustainable diets
  • Do people think net zero will be expensive, or can the costs fall fairly?
  • Opinium polling: A third of young people seek counselling and medical help for eco-anxiety
  • Climate Citizens report: Sustaining the political mandate for climate action
  • Summer 2023 was the hottest on record globally
  • Aug '23
    Resources for working with climate emotions
  • Valent report: Evidence of online manipulation in the debate around ULEZ expansion
  • Understanding opinion on 15-minute neighbourhoods
  • Progressive Policy Institute report: working class voters’ views on climate policies
  • Ipsos polling: Voters have an appetite for helping the environment alongside concerns about affordability
  • Conservative Party members oppose LTNs and the phase out of petrol/diesel cars
  • Jul '23
    Desmog polling: Voters tend to support ULEZ-style policies, when it is made clear only a minority of vehicles are affected
  • More in Common research: voters outside of London were not paying close attention to the extension of ULEZ
  • International comparison: UK support for net zero policies
  • YouGov poll shows support outweighs opposition for lowering urban speed limits from 30 to 20mph
  • Onward report: Local benefits increase rural support for renewable energy projects
  • Jun '23
    ACT Climate Labs guide: How to rebut ‘what about China and India’ arguments
  • Climate Change Committee: How the government can show leadership on climate change
  • May '23
    SNP voters back a ‘rapid’ move away from oil and gas – but are more evenly split on new exploration
  • Research paper: Climate-induced migration is not a route to greater climate concern
  • YouGov tracker: Public consistently in favour of government subsidies for solar development
  • Public Order Act 2023 introduces harsher protest laws
  • Apr '23
    Tracker data: Gender divide in MPs’ beliefs about cost of climate impacts
  • Tracker data: Some public willingness to pay extra climate tax
  • More in Common: Britain’s ‘quiet majority’ want less talk and more action on green energy
  • Mar '23
    OFFSHORE documentary explores what the energy transition means for workers and communities around the North Sea
  • Most Britons want their area to become a 15 minute neighbourhood
  • Platform report: The needs of offshore workers for a just energy transition
  • Jan '23
    Guide: How to better communicate about heat risks
  • Is tackling meat consumption too politically toxic?
  • Dec '22
    Understanding support for the frequent flyer levy
  • ECIU report: What is the cost of ‘Not Zero’?
  • Video clip testing: Voters are more likely to support Labour when they hear them talking about climate change
  • Red Cross polling: UK public unaware of flood risks and what actions to take
  • Nov '22
    Ahead of COP27, UK public sceptical that the conference would speed up climate action
  • COP27 polling: Few see Rishi Sunak as showing leadership, but most support climate funds for poorer nations
  • Ipsos MORI polling: Britons want subsidies on environmentally friendly tech (but few want higher taxes on non-renewable energy sources)
  • Oct '22
    Climate Majority project seeks to take climate action ‘outside of the bubble’
  • Research paper: Media portrayal of heatwaves undermines the seriousness of heat risks
  • YouGov tracker: Wind power continues to be the most popular form of energy generation
  • Climate anxiety around the world
  • Message testing guide: How to talk about the cost of living and climate crises at the same time
  • Sep '22
    Initiative with football fans encourages meat reduction
  • Briefing paper: The road to net zero – UK public preferences for low-carbon lifestyles
  • More in Common research shows how to engage ‘Blue Wall pragmatists’ on climate change
  • Aug '22
    ACT Climate Labs: How to combat misinformation around extreme weather
  • Jul '22
    New research paper: politicians and activists ‘speak a different language’ on climate change
  • UK experiences temperatures above 40°C for the first time
  • IPPR narrative testing: Messages about impacts are one of the most persuasive arguments for action on climate change
  • Carbon Brief: How UK newspapers changed their minds about climate change
  • Jun '22
    Mapping worry about climate change
  • Research: Britons’ aspirations to reduce diet impact made more difficult by day-to-day realities
  • Ipsos poll: More support than opposition for diet-related climate policies
  • May '22
    COP26: What the public heard
  • Feb '22
    Climate Change Committee: New oil and gas fields in the North Sea will create only marginal savings for households
  • Jan '22
    Climate Emotions Wheel shows the range of climate emotions
  • Dec '21
    Research paper: Emotions as drivers of climate change opinions and actions
  • Nov '21
    Media analysis: News of protests at COP26 outstripped coverage of the conference itself
  • Ahead of COP26, Loyal Nationals express scepticism around around international cooperation
  • Oct '21
    UK government hosts the annual UN climate Conference of the Parties (COP26)
  • Global Scan polling: Most Britons want global leadership by the government on climate
  • Development Engagement Lab: Britons have greater awareness of COP26 than other countries
  • Climate Just map: Climate vulnerability in the UK
  • Government’s Net Zero strategy includes new oil & gas licensing
  • Sep '21
    Climate Outreach report: Loyal Nationals see climate change as a shared global responsibility
  • Jun '21
    Britain Talks Climate – which segments are engaging in behaviour change?
  • Research paper: High carbon lifestyles can undermine climate messaging
  • Green Alliance: The case for clean air zones
  • Jan '21
    Climate Outreach resource: Lifestyle change & system change are two sides of the same coin
  • Dec '20
    UN Environment Programme report: the importance of lifestyle change for closing the ’emissions gap’
  • Nov '20
    Clear differences between segments of British society when it comes to climate-related food choices
  • Oct '20
    Britain Talks Climate: Most people are unsure which party has best climate policies
  • Britain Talks Climate: climate change concerns us all, regardless of income, background or politics
  • Research paper: Feeling empowered and able to make a difference is key to engagement on adaptation
  • CAST data portal: support for lifestyle change in the UK (vs Brazil, China & Sweden)
  • Sep '20
    Public forums: Reducing meat as part of a balanced diet seen as achievable and desirable
  • Jul '20
    Report: National Food Strategy highlights need for long term shifts in UK’s food culture
  • Mar '20
    Guide: Engaging the public on climate impacts and adaptation
  • Cardiff University polling: concern about heat risks has increased over the past decade but floods still top the risk table
  • Jan '20
    Environment Agency report: Low income households at greatest risk from flooding
  • Nov '19
    Report: Vulnerable people don’t feel they are at risk from heat
  • Sep '19
    Climate Strike: 200 protest events in UK’s biggest environmental protest to-date
  • Aug '19
    Reuters: How Greta Thunberg’s climate strikes became a global movement in a year
  • IPCC report: Dietary changes (including eating less meat) are needed to meet global sustainability goals
  • May '19
    Poll reveals MP misperceptions over onshore wind
  • Nov '18
    ‘One thousand ways to experience loss’
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    Climate Barometer Tracker 26th October 2023

    Tracker data: Do MPs see Net Zero as a vote winner or loser in Red and Blue Wall seats?

    Climate Barometer tracker data shows MPs see ‘Red Wall’ and ‘Blue Wall’ seats quite differently. For ‘Blue wall’ seats (historically safe Conservative seats that have become swing seats), Conservative and Labour MPs correctly judge that net zero is a vote winner.

    For ‘Red wall’ seats (historically safe Labour seats that have become swing seats), Conservative and Labour MPs have very different opinions. Labour MPs are much more likely to say that net zero is a vote winner (37% in April 2023) compared to only 7% of Conservative MPs. But both groups of MPs have become more convinced during 2023 that net zero is a vote-loser in Red Wall seats.

    In fact, there are no voter groups (or age groups, genders or regions) where there is not comfortably more support than opposition for net zero.

    Climate Barometer Tracker 26th October 2023

    Making sense of differences between the public and MP opinions on oil and gas

    Support for oil and gas is low among the UK public. But in common with several other key areas of climate policy (especially onshore wind) Conservative MPs have a different view. Compared to the public – including Conservative voters – Conservative MPs are more likely to:

    • Favour expanding domestic oil and gas production, over investing in renewables (when asked to choose between the two)
    • Have a ‘net favourable’ opinion of oil as a source of energy
    • Overestimate how favourable an opinion the public, including Conservative voters, have of oil

    What explains this difference in perspective? One answer may simply be the formal position of the Conservative Party, which is to continue awarding new oil and gas licenses (whilst maintaining a commitment to net zero by 2050). Working backwards from the fact the party is committed to approving new oil and gas extraction, Conservative MPs may feel a tension in opposing oil and gas on a personal level (given that they have to represent this policy to their constituents).

    And although Conservative MPs overestimate how favourable their voters are towards oil and gas, they are aligned in a different way: Climate Barometer tracker data shows Conservative voters are more likely to oppose (48%) than support (16%) the ending of drilling in the North Sea for oil and gas altogether.

    Wider Context 24th October 2023

    UK meat consumption at lowest level since records began

    Government data showed that from March 2021 to March 2022, people in the UK consumed less meat than at any point since records began in the 1970s. The average Brit ate 854g a week, down 14% since 2012. 

    The trend is thought to be driven by the cost of living crisis, Covid-19 and broader lifestyle changes.

    Not all meats are equal here though: In the preceding decade, ‘carcass meat’ consumption (including beef, pork and lamb) fell by 26%, while chicken and other meat products fell by 11%. 

    The data also shows a drop in Britons’ takeaway meat consumption in 2021-22, with people eating fewer burgers, kebabs and meat pies than at any point since the 1980s.

    • Source: The Guardian
    • Authors: Michael Goodier, Viktor Sunnemark
    • Date: 24th October 2023
    Opinion Insight 23rd October 2023

    What explains the drop in Welsh support for 20mph speed limits, shortly after their introduction?

    Polling for WalesOnline by Redfield & Wilton shows a sharp rise in the proportion of people opposed to the new ‘default’ 20mph speed limits introduced on certain roads in Wales (where ‘cars mix with pedestrians’).

    Although introduced primarily for road-safety reasons, lower speed limits are one way in which air pollution from road traffic can be reduced, and 20mph limits are typically a feature of cleaner-air campaigns.

    Support in Wales has dropped across the board, but especially among Conservative voters following intense opposition by the Conservative Party (including organising a petition against the new law)

    This pattern is in contrast to the typical ‘Goodwin curve‘ of initial (pre-implementation) opposition softening into majority support once the new rules are in place.

    The strength of opposition from Conservative politicians in Cardiff suggests – as with the opposition to clean air zones seen among Conservative MPs in Westminster – that the opposition is partly about creating a political dividing line.

    But with a significant percentage of the Welsh public currently in opposition to the scheme, winning over the ‘Persuadables’ is more important than ever – something which ACT Climate Labs has issued recent guidance on around transport policies.

    Whilst the change may not currently be popular, driver behaviour showed immediate signs of positive change, with average speeds dropping in the first week of the policy’s implementation.

    • Source: Redfield and Wilton
    • Author: Redfield & Wilton Strategies
    • Date: 18th October 2023
    Climate Barometer Tracker 23rd October 2023

    MPs continue to underestimate importance of the environment for voters

    Worries about the cost of living have loomed so large – for voters and in terms of their dominance in the political discourse – that MPs may assume public concern about climate change has dropped.

    One way to read the Conservative Party’s recent rhetorical turn against net zero policies (positioning them as unduly costly) is a calculation that voters don’t care about the environment as much as they actually do, and that anything that can be presented as reducing costs will be popular.

    As Ipsos polling from August indicates,  people do worry that currently cannot afford to ‘do more’ to protect the environment – but the importance of climate change hasn’t diminished.

    The most popular new policy in Rishi Sunak’s announcement of net zero changes (for Conservative and Labour voters) was an increased government grant for heat pumps – i.e. a policy change that made making a positive environmental choice cheaper.

    And polling by the think tank Onward found that green policies were ranked last in a list of potential causes of the cost-of-living crisis.

    When asked, only 17% of MPs think that the environment is a top issue for the public, but this is not mirrored in public opinion data, which consistently shows the environment polling higher. In our most recent round of polling, ‘the environment’ was selected as a top 3 issue by 26% of the public.

    Opinion Insight 23rd October 2023

    Climate Citizens report: MPs underestimate the importance of the environment for voters

    The political mandate for climate action has strengthened over the past five years according to a report led by the Climate Citizens research group at Lancaster University. But the same report also notes there’s a belief among some MPs that climate concern is concentrated among middle-class and wealthier voters. One MP interviewed for the report said:

    If you’re struggling you’re not going to be thinking ‘has COP26 been of success or not?’ They don’t give a damn about offshore, onshore wind, that’s completely irrelevant to their lives.

    In fact, resources like Britain Talks Climate show climate change is important across social groups. And typically, the ‘loud minorities’ who oppose renewable energy projects are likely to be over-represented among wealthier constituents.

    Our Climate Barometer tracker data shows that MPs underestimate the salience of the environment for voters relative to other issues.

    Policy Insight 23rd October 2023

    Conservatives urged to reconsider anti net zero strategy after Tamworth & Mid Bedfordshire by-elections

    In July 2023, the Uxbridge by-election was – rightly or wrongly – interpreted as indicating there was appetite among voters for anti net-zero sentiment and rhetoric. Whilst some of the measures Rishi Sunak subsequently announced in September 2023 – slowing down the phase out of gas boilers and petrol/diesel vehicles – received a positive reaction from Conservative voters in polling, there was no obvious gain in political capital.

    The heavy losses incurred by the Conservatives in two subsequent October 2023 by-elections are being read by some political commentators as a sign that the anti net zero push didn’t bring voters flocking back to the party.

    Sam Hall, the Director of the Conservative Environment Network (CEN), argued that Sunak is ‘gambling with his party’s hard won green credentials’.

    Read the Climate Barometer’s analysis of what the Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire by-elections do – and don’t – tell us about public opinion on climate policies.

     

    Policy Insight 19th October 2023

    Communities near wind farms will receive £300 incentive

    As part of relaxing planning rules around onshore wind developments, communities near wind farms will be offered incentives of £300

    Climate Barometer tracker data shows that onshore wind is a highly popular energy source, including a willingness to live near to a wind farm. However, public opinion has been misrepresented by Conservative MPs who significantly underestimate public support.

    Climate Barometer Tracker 19th October 2023

    Tracker data: Public and MPs see climate action as best route to energy independence

    Our polling of MP and public data across two waves (October 2022 and April 2023) asked respondents to indicate what they felt was the best way to eliminate UK dependence on Russian oil and gas.

    While there has been a slight dip between waves, the majority of MPs and members of the public still say that the best way to reduce UK dependence is to reduce our use of fossil fuels all together and instead expand our use of renewable energy (such as wind and solar.

    Approximately a third of MPs believe the best way is to increase the UK’s domestic supply of oil and gas through expanded drilling and fracking, but this is less popular with the public.

     

    Climate Barometer Tracker 19th October 2023

    Tracker data: Most believe they can make a difference on climate, but over a third don’t

    Climate Barometer tracker data shows that the majority of the public agree that there are actions they can take that can make a difference to climate change. However, a notable segment of the public disagrees, and even more are unsure. Feelings of resignation, helplessness or even fatalism are features of the public discourse on climate change, and are realities that any campaign efforts must content with. Building a sense of agency (‘I can do this’) and ‘efficacy’ (‘what I do matters’) is a prerequisite for campaigns to be successful.

    Climate Barometer Tracker 19th October 2023

    Tracker data: MP and public opinion on government climate action

    Climate Barometer polling shows that the majority of the public believe the government should be doing more to address climate change. MPs are more divided, with similar proportions saying the government should do more, and are doing the right amount to address climate change. Very few MPs or members of the public feel the government should do less.

    Policy Insight 18th October 2023

    National Infrastructure Commission recommends low income households should be given free heat pumps

    Independent advisers the National Infrastructure Commission has recommended in a new report that low income households are given free heat pumps to aid the transition away from gas boilers.

    Polling shows that there is currently some hesitation – especially among Conservative voters – around the phasing out of gas boilers over the next decade, with a belief that net zero policies will be ‘expensive’ becoming widespread.

    Policies such as this – were it to be enacted – would reflect calls for a ‘Fairness Lock’ from IPPR, protecting the least able to pay from the costs of  the green transition.

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